Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$15
Polymarket Trader
kamarat
0x7c40df456a6295c376deef32ba9b9ae768dd3d64
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5
- Realized PnL
- $1.59K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$12.75
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$9.52
Yes position
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.96
- Potential profit
- $999.96
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on March 26, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $810.89
- Potential profit
- $810.89
- User PnL
- -$8.11
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 5, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700.01
- Potential profit
- $700.01
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on March 25, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $676.88
- Potential profit
- $676.88
- User PnL
- -$6.77
Yes position
Bill Clinton charged by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $650
- Potential profit
- $650
- User PnL
- -$6.5
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 21, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $648.19
- Potential profit
- $648.19
- User PnL
- -$6.48
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600.02
- Potential profit
- $600.02
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 480m and 520m by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600.01
- Potential profit
- $600.01
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will the U.S. collect between $500b and $1t in revenue in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600.01
- Potential profit
- $600.01
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 21, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $555.99
- Potential profit
- $555.99
- User PnL
- -$5.56
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on March 27, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $552.37
- Potential profit
- $552.37
- User PnL
- -$5.52
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500.03
- Potential profit
- $500.03
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500.02
- Potential profit
- $500.02
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500.02
- Potential profit
- $500.02
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500.02
- Potential profit
- $500.02
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500.02
- Potential profit
- $500.02
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500.01
- Potential profit
- $500.01
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500.01
- Potential profit
- $500.01
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $289.5
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.15
No position
Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,850-$4,975 in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $98.26
Yes position
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $93.51
Yes position
Will Tran Cam Tu be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $81.9
Yes position
Evidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Jan 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $57.75
Yes position
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $48.65
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 21, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $46.8
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 22, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $46.8
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $40.95
Yes position
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $40.95
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37.8
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,725-$4,850 in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36
No position
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $35.1
Yes position
Will Gold close between $4700 and $4800 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $35.1
Yes position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $33
No position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31.86
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30.3
Yes position
Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.65
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.25
Yes position
Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.3
Yes position
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?Yes 0.9% 488.86 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?Yes 0.6% 500 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Yes 0.5% 300 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 1% 500 shares
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?Yes 1% 50 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?Yes 0.6% 300 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?Yes 7.5% 90 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by May 8?Yes 6.1% 500 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 7?Yes 1% 20 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?Yes 1% 200 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes 0.1% 13.16 shares
- Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?Yes 0.1% 82.95 shares