No position
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
cmgs
0x7c41a57671b3eb05036d44231e4706f7e976ccb5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.51
- Realized PnL
- $94.62
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down on November 17?
Ends Nov 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 3PM ET
Ends Nov 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$16
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.94
- Potential profit
- $32.94
- User PnL
- -$3.99
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$8.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.77
- Potential profit
- $5.77
- User PnL
- -$1.97
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $4.76
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.2%
- Current value
- $0.64
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $4.62
- Multiplier
- 8.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.72
- Potential profit
- $4.72
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to less than 2 years in prison?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $0.13
- Potential payout
- $3.57
- Potential profit
- $3.44
- Multiplier
- 26.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.87
No position
House passes Epstein disclosure bill on Tuesday?
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.54
- Potential profit
- $3.54
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.45
- Potential profit
- $3.45
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.33
- Potential profit
- $3.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $1.24
- Potential payout
- $2.94
- Potential profit
- $1.71
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.16
- Potential profit
- $2.16
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.75
- Potential profit
- $1.75
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.75
- Potential profit
- $1.75
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.44
- Potential profit
- $1.44
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 20, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.34
- Potential profit
- $1.34
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $1.11
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $1.03
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 21, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.99
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 18, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.26
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Nov 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.51
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 21, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.27
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
Ends Nov 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.24
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
Ends Nov 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.11
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Nov 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.08
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 20, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.74
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Nov 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.29
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.12
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.12
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.05
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Nov 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 18, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.74
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 19, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Nov 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Nov 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Nov 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 18, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.27
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 21, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.07
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Nov 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETUp 50% 2.23 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETUp 44% 2.24 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETDown 99.9% 5.05 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETDown 99% 5.05 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETDown 97% 30.92 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETDown 86% 1.16 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETUp 2% 5.85 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETUp 17% 5.85 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETDown 7% 14.27 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETDown 16% 12.44 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETDown 16% 6.22 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - February 19, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETDown 7% 2.9 shares