Polymarket Trader

0x7c4a...b3e8

0x7c4ac895d496b09addce792ce3849f863ef7b3e8

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $19
Realized PnL: $176.04
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $2.45
Potential payout: $19.48
Potential profit: $17.04
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $3.26
Potential payout: $17.69
Potential profit: $14.42
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will the announcers say "Goal" 20+ times during the USA vs Australia FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $16.9
Potential profit: $16.82
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$0.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 92-93°F on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $13.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $0.84
Potential payout: $12.99
Potential profit: $12.15
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $0.94
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $11.56
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $1.69
Potential payout: $12.35
Potential profit: $10.66
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $1.73
Potential payout: $7.38
Potential profit: $5.65
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Haiti?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $1.18
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $5.96
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will Dion Beljo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.5
Potential profit: $6.49
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.97

Under position

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.13
Potential profit: $5.13
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $0.9
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $3.27
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $1.16
Potential payout: $3.92
Potential profit: $2.76
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$0.84

Brazil position

Spread: Brazil (-3.5)

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $3.13
Potential profit: $2.17
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$0.05

Algeria position

Spread: Algeria (-1.5)

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $0.91
Potential payout: $2.56
Potential profit: $1.65
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $0.92
Potential payout: $2.27
Potential profit: $1.35
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$0.08

New York Yankees position

Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 52%
Current value: $1.11
Potential payout: $2.13
Potential profit: $1.02
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $0.89
Potential payout: $1.15
Potential profit: $0.26
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: -$0.11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.25

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.11

Yes position

Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Senegal?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.48

Under position

Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.59

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 21, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.39

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.93

KT Rolster position

LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.77

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.74

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.55

Knicks position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.16

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.98

New York Yankees position

New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.67

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Team Falcons 99.9% 14.12 shares
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Team Falcons 36% 2.78 shares
Games Total: O/U 2.5

Under 44% 2.27 shares
Games Total: O/U 2.5

Under 35% 2.86 shares
Games Total: O/U 2.5

Over 65% 2.22 shares
Spread: United States (-1.5)

United States 97% 4.7 shares
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Team Falcons 20% 5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Down 8% 12.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Down 36% 2.78 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Down 48% 4.17 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Down 14% 7.14 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Down 58% 1.72 shares