No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $868.67
- Potential payout
- $3.78K
- Potential profit
- $2.91K
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- -$131.33
Polymarket Trader
Delta141
0x7c4e7df4ceb66e6391ddea48b77c376667e16cad
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.55K
- Realized PnL
- $986.3
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.8%
- Current value
- $989.42
- Potential payout
- $2.84K
- Potential profit
- $1.85K
- Multiplier
- 2.87x
- User PnL
- -$10.58
Yes position
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $70.82
- Potential payout
- $2.32K
- Potential profit
- $2.25K
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$429.18
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $944.44
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $1.28K
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$55.55
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $909.84
- Potential payout
- $1.64K
- Potential profit
- $729.51
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$90.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.46K
- Potential profit
- $1.46K
- User PnL
- -$400
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $1.1K
- Potential payout
- $1.37K
- Potential profit
- $267.12
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $102.74
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $752.81
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $370.79
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- -$247.19
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.6%
- Current value
- $916.26
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $206.75
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$83.74
Resolved Context
Closed positions
GamerLegion position
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $625.1
M80 position
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $361.2
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1M80 99.9% 862.06 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETUp 27.7% 361.07 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETUp 27% 370.37 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETUp 27% 370.37 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETUp 28% 357.6 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 89% 1,123.6 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?No 84.7% 1,180.73 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 61% 1,639.34 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No 26.5% 3,776.81 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 89% 1,123.01 shares
- Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1GamerLegion 99.9% 1,626.72 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 70% 1,428.57 shares