Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $1.33K
- Potential payout
- $8.86K
- Potential profit
- $7.53K
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$142.77
Polymarket Trader
wsergws
@cqxmv12gik
0x7c6c6f0a0e94a3354696220d6085f9edd0690ed3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.33K
- Realized PnL
- $6.21K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $827.28
- Potential profit
- $827.28
- User PnL
- -$500
No position
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $401.5
- Potential profit
- $401.5
- User PnL
- -$7.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
Ends Dec 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99
- Potential profit
- $99
- User PnL
- -$48.51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $98
- Potential profit
- $98
- User PnL
- -$49.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $84.56
- Potential profit
- $84.56
- User PnL
- -$43.68
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Dec 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $81
- Potential profit
- $81
- User PnL
- -$43.74
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- -$41.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Dec 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76
- Potential profit
- $76
- User PnL
- -$35.72
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Dec 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75.79
- Potential profit
- $75.79
- User PnL
- -$43.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $73.09
- Potential profit
- $73.09
- User PnL
- -$38.69
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $73
- Potential profit
- $73
- User PnL
- -$35.77
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Dec 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $73
- Potential profit
- $73
- User PnL
- -$40.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Dec 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68
- Potential profit
- $68
- User PnL
- -$37.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65
- Potential profit
- $65
- User PnL
- -$35.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Dec 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $64
- Potential profit
- $64
- User PnL
- -$31.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63
- Potential profit
- $63
- User PnL
- -$32.76
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Dec 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61
- Potential profit
- $61
- User PnL
- -$32.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.71
- Potential profit
- $58.71
- User PnL
- -$30.78
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58
- Potential profit
- $58
- User PnL
- -$30.74
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57
- Potential profit
- $57
- User PnL
- -$28.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $56
- Potential profit
- $56
- User PnL
- -$30.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Dec 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $56
- Potential profit
- $56
- User PnL
- -$28
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54
- Potential profit
- $54
- User PnL
- -$29.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1AM ET
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $409.57
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10PM ET
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $365.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2PM ET
Ends Nov 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $341.61
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2PM ET
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $312.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5PM ET
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $292.44
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12PM ET
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $280.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9AM ET
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $279.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7PM ET
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $277.29
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7AM ET
Ends Nov 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270.59
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 23, 12AM ET
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $269.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4PM ET
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $258.43
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10PM ET
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $257.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9AM ET
Ends Nov 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $248.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 7AM ET
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $242.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7AM ET
Ends Nov 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3AM ET
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $233.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8PM ET
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $226.34
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 6AM ET
Ends Nov 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $219
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3AM ET
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $215.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6PM ET
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $209.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4PM ET
Ends Nov 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $204.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2AM ET
Ends Nov 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5AM ET
Ends Nov 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1AM ET
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $178.89
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes 16.6% 8,861.54 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?No 98.4% 62 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?No 31.7% 2,353.36 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?No 43% 109.99 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?No 93% 378.32 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?No 93.1% 322.38 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?No 81% 98.77 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?No 79% 113.92 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?No 79% 379.75 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?No 94% 1,170.21 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?No 96% 1,041.87 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?No 94% 531.91 shares