Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $69.78
- Potential profit
- $69.75
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$29.46
Polymarket Trader
0x7c71Fc1305a3c907C85D7EE2e61765Db5Ee39338-1780688026918
0x7c71fc1305a3c907c85d7ee2e61765db5ee39338
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $21.28
- Realized PnL
- $7.77
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $11.48
- Potential payout
- $51
- Potential profit
- $39.53
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$2.81
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $7.72
- Potential payout
- $15.29
- Potential profit
- $7.57
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $0.87
- Potential payout
- $4.71
- Potential profit
- $3.84
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $1.18
- Potential payout
- $2.64
- Potential profit
- $1.47
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54
Yes position
Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.69
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Brian Bjelde be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be between 1% and 1.5%?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or below on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will HEROIC make a roster change before August?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.2%
- Multiplier
- 9.80x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Russia capture Toretske by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?
Ends Sep 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.4%
- Multiplier
- 6.94x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 9?Yes 53% 2.19 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 9?Yes 53% 2.19 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 9?Yes 53% 2.19 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 9?Yes 53% 2.19 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 10?Yes 28% 4.71 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 9?Yes 56% 2.18 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 9?Yes 56% 2.18 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 9?Yes 56% 2.18 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 8?Yes 45% 2.71 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 8?Yes 45% 2.71 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 8?Yes 45% 2.71 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 8?Yes 47% 2.49 shares