Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $342.47
- Potential profit
- $342.47
- User PnL
- -$50
Polymarket Trader
Po1yBot-O8h1NhxpFf
0x7c72fae1e078fa02fa3b28c9eda9b55df5a43efd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $90.4
- Realized PnL
- $308.22
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 16, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.3%
- Current value
- $25.69
- Potential payout
- $249.38
- Potential profit
- $223.69
- Multiplier
- 9.71x
- User PnL
- -$74.31
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $171.09
- Potential profit
- $171.09
- User PnL
- -$22.24
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $131.84
- Potential profit
- $130.85
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $33.47
- Potential payout
- $91.7
- Potential profit
- $58.23
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$6.88
Yes position
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $88.31
- Potential profit
- $88.31
- User PnL
- -$13.6
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $73.67
- Potential profit
- $73.67
- User PnL
- -$28.73
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.2%
- Current value
- $19.37
- Potential payout
- $23.01
- Potential profit
- $3.64
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $5.68
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $10.88
- Potential payout
- $18.29
- Potential profit
- $7.41
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.17
- Potential profit
- $3.17
- User PnL
- -$1.88
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.24
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.55
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.71
No position
Will Starmer say "Europe" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.25
No position
Kash Patel out by April 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.04
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.76
No position
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.92
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.21
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.9
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.27
No position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $3.09
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.89
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $2.19
No position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 74°F or higher on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 59% 0.29 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 59% 16.59 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 59% 35.17 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 59% 35.9 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 60% 35.9 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 16, 2026?Yes 40.1% 124.69 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 16, 2026?Yes 40.1% 124.69 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 3.7% 33.71 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 3.7% 2.86 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 3.7% 4.09 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 54% 49.8 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 54% 38.07 shares