Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.08K
- Potential profit
- $24.08K
- User PnL
- -$1.7K
Polymarket Trader
0x7c7a77b5CAB8b67cA50823971a8B33a9f7b50d8B-1776336184673
0x7c7a77b5cab8b67ca50823971a8b33a9f7b50d8b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $74.28
- Realized PnL
- -$5.14K
- Win rate
- 40%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.23K
- Potential profit
- $21.23K
- User PnL
- -$132.55
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.21K
- Potential profit
- $21.21K
- User PnL
- -$678.97
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.19K
- Potential profit
- $15.19K
- User PnL
- -$699.98
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.34K
- Potential profit
- $11.34K
- User PnL
- -$497.99
Yes position
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11K
- Potential profit
- $11K
- User PnL
- -$98.99
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.38K
- Potential profit
- $10.38K
- User PnL
- -$498
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.84K
- Potential profit
- $8.84K
- User PnL
- -$193.87
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $35.92
- Potential payout
- $7.98K
- Potential profit
- $7.95K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$164.07
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.55K
- Potential profit
- $5.55K
- User PnL
- -$133.09
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $38.37
- Potential payout
- $4.51K
- Potential profit
- $4.48K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.68K
- Potential profit
- $3.68K
- User PnL
- -$498
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.57K
- Potential profit
- $3.57K
- User PnL
- -$119.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.47
- Potential profit
- $22.47
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $525.75
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.75
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $38.7
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.06
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$72.02
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- -$320.89
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$404.68
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.15K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.52K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.34K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 1.1% 1,656.46 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 2.8% 6,436.26 shares
- Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?Yes 0.9% 11,002.78 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 6.2% 6,436.26 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 0.7% 1,428.57 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 0.7% 1,428.57 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 4.6% 13,424.09 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 6.6% 3,422.77 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes 20.1% 5,087.57 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes 9.8% 5,087.57 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 5% 10,001.32 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 4.8% 10,375 shares