No position
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $2.47K
- Potential payout
- $2.7K
- Potential profit
- $229.5
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $187.5
Polymarket Trader
retolo273
0x7c8cd661558862131a5e4c140ad9ec5f350e1bdc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.23K
- Realized PnL
- $1.05K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $1.67K
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $31.45
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $50.25
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $816.67
- Potential payout
- $843.23
- Potential profit
- $26.56
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $51.86
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,000-$6,500 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $24
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $176
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$9.33
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $56
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $144
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- $22.67
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,500-$8,000 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $39
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $161
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $5.67
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,500-$7,000 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $33
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $167
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,000-$7,500 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $38
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $162
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- $4.67
No position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$44
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $74.8
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $5.2
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $9.2
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $4.67
- Potential payout
- $40.58
- Potential profit
- $35.91
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$10.74
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300.9
No position
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $243.92
No position
Will Biden pardon Trump?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.2
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.78
No position
Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.37
Yes position
Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.95
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.43
No position
Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.7
No position
Trump takes Panama Canal in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.97
No position
Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32
No position
Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.82
No position
Gold missing from Fort Knox?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $19.28
No position
Will BNP Paribas fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19
N
No position
Will Brazil finish second in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
Yes position
Will Tití Me Preguntó be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13
No position
Will HSBC fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.01
No position
Will there be another US government shutdown by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.72
Yes position
Will DtMF be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.5
No position
Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.32
No position
Will Goldman Sachs fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.21
No position
Will Biden pardon SBF?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?No 44% 100 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 90.7% 843.23 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?Yes 26.1% 541 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?Yes 32% 15 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?Yes 34% 17.1 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?Yes 38.7% 31.39 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?Yes 37% 10 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?Yes 37.9% 1,000 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?No 73.7% 200 shares
- Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?No 99% 1,093.32 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 82% 80 shares
- Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026?No 96.3% 361.8 shares