Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $3
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Polymarket Trader
Montgomery89mf
0x7c94e97edbf58711b40a5cf7bf74a907c292cafd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- -$6.35
- Win rate
- 52.4%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.3
Yes position
Will the December 2024 temperature increase be between 1.25-1.29°C?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.21
No position
Will "Paddington in Peru" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $15-18m?
Ends Feb 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Tennessee position
Vanderbilt vs. Tennessee
Ends Feb 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times May 16–23?
Ends May 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will West Ham win on 2025-02-15?
Ends Feb 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 86.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.32
No position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.2
No position
Will Billy Donovan make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?
Ends Feb 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.44
Yes position
Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during Fox News Oval Office interview?
Ends Jan 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes 94.5% 31 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 72.7% 319 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 72.7% 319 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 93.2% 250 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 83.7% 306 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 83.6% 306 shares
- Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1.6% 255 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 14.7% 254 shares
- Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1.6% 228 shares
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 97.3% 258 shares
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 97.3% 258 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 84.5% 91 shares