faco3

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $1.11
Potential payout: $41.2
Potential profit: $40.09
Multiplier: 37.04x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $39.94
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: $1.95

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 35°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $35.96
Potential payout: $36
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $1.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $34.91
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $0.09
User PnL: $1.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 2?

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $1.14
Potential payout: $32.29
Potential profit: $31.14
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$0.47

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $30.1
Potential payout: $30.37
Potential profit: $0.27
User PnL: $0.48

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 2?

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $29.93
Potential payout: $30.02
Potential profit: $0.09
User PnL: $1.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 3?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.25
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: -$0.12

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $29.87
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0.14
User PnL: $1.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 79.4%
Current value: $19.98
Potential payout: $25.18
Potential profit: $5.2
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $0.38

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $24.99
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $12.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 2?

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $19.32
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.68
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.79

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $19.28
Potential payout: $19.67
Potential profit: $0.38
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $18.56
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $0.67
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $16.51
Potential profit: $16.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 102-103°F on July 2?

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $2.55
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $12.45
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: $1.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 112-113°F on July 2?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.99
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$1.35

No position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $13.88
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $1.13
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 2?

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $3.6
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $11.4
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: $2.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 106-107°F on July 2?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.85
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: -$1.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 100-101°F on July 2?

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $8.4
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $6.6
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: $7.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 116°F or higher on July 2?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 114-115°F on July 2?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.36

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.73

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.18

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 8?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $90

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on June 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $60.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.55

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.19

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.03

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on June 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 9?