Polymarket Trader

banan

0x7cbca6904291affd3c6bfa157d5edbc900dc5196

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.48K
Realized PnL: $7.35K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.28K
Potential profit: $101.28K
User PnL: -$1.43K

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.31K
Potential profit: $29.31K
User PnL: -$396.97

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.08K
Potential profit: $20.08K
User PnL: -$99.97

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.85K
Potential profit: $14.85K
User PnL: -$369.98

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $844.11
Potential payout: $14.19K
Potential profit: $13.34K
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: -$380.64

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.22K
Potential profit: $11.22K
User PnL: -$75.99

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $256.57
Potential payout: $7.89K
Potential profit: $7.64K
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: $149.58

Yes position

Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $1.36K
Potential payout: $7.56K
Potential profit: $6.2K
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: -$1.17K

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.2K
Potential profit: $7.2K
User PnL: -$59.99

Yes position

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $22.75
Potential payout: $6.5K
Potential profit: $6.48K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$7.25

No position

Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $6K
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$15

Favbet position

Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group Stage

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Spurs position

Cavaliers vs. Spurs

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.86K
Potential profit: $4.86K
User PnL: -$88

Yes position

Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.65K
Potential profit: $4.65K
User PnL: -$26

Yes position

Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.44K
Potential profit: $3.44K
User PnL: -$21

Yes position

Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.26K
Potential profit: $3.26K
User PnL: -$27

Yes position

Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.23K
Potential profit: $2.23K
User PnL: -$229

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.21K
Potential profit: $2.21K
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Trump say "Polymarket" by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.15K
Potential profit: $2.15K
User PnL: -$91

Yes position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.08K
Potential profit: $2.08K
User PnL: -$90

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Charles Oliveira position

UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $912.9

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $518.07

Ion Cutelaba position

UFC Fight Night: Ion Cutelaba vs. Oumar Sy (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $495.71

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $435.64

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $265.03

Yes position

Will Pump.fun launch a token by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $263.45

Knicks position

Cavaliers vs. Knicks

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $247.69

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $246.34

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $243.85

No position

Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $222.02

Torres position

UFC 323: Dawson vs. Torres (Lightweight, Prelims)

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202.87

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Nuggets

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202

Paper Rex position

Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffs

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.19

Yes position

Hawk Tuah token by Thanksgiving?

Ends Nov 28, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173.46

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.36

G2 Esports position

Valorant: G2 Esports vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffs

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.75

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.4

Vikings position

Lions vs. Vikings

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148.67

Falcons position

Falcons vs. Buccaneers

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.05

Dolphins position

Buccaneers vs. Dolphins

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.52

Paper Rex position

Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffs

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.34

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 25% 40 shares
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Yes 30% 33.33 shares
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?

Yes 17% 82.35 shares
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 8% 150 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 15% 66.67 shares
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Yes 24% 41.67 shares
Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 0 South Africa?

Yes 12% 166.67 shares
Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score

No 51% 29.41 shares
Spread: Czechia (-1.5)

Czechia 27% 103.7 shares
Spread: South Africa (-1.5)

South Africa 7% 142.86 shares
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 53% 103.77 shares
UFC Fight Night: Leon Shahbazyan vs. Levan Chokheli (Welterweight, Prelims)

Leon Shahbazyan 27.3% 91.43 shares