OpenAI position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $429.12
- Potential payout
- $1.34K
- Potential profit
- $911.88
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- -$107.28
Polymarket Trader
NatashaWalker6946
0x7cc27a27e3c41601a9d696116e988fbb2cb740d7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $624.44
- Realized PnL
- $1.26K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $173.88
- Potential payout
- $535
- Potential profit
- $361.13
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$24.07
Yes position
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $18.76
- Potential payout
- $67
- Potential profit
- $48.24
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- $8.04
No position
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $1.79
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.8%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0.85
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Colorado State Rams position
Colorado State Rams vs. Saint Mary's Gaels (W)
Ends Nov 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $368.15
Yes position
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $199.68
No position
Will Franco Parisi endorse José Antonio Kast for President of Chile?
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.48
No position
Will "Mahomes" be said at the Super Bowl?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.51
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 7, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.64
No position
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.05
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $45.55
No position
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $44.8
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 23?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.67
No position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39.33
No position
Will Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.64
Yes position
Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $30.26
No position
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $29.3
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Chargers be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.95
No position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.08
No position
Databricks IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $23.85
Yes position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.47
Yes position
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 10.3%
- Multiplier
- 9.71x
- User PnL
- $23.39
No position
Will Noëp win Eesti Laul 2026?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.75
Yes position
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25%
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- $16.74
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.08
Yes position
Will Karl-Anthony Towns lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.08
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.79
Yes position
Will the Buffalo Bills be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?No 42% 293 shares
- Alcorn State Braves vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden LionsArkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions 89.8% 68 shares
- Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?No 70.1% 266 shares
- Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?No 79.4% 266 shares
- Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?No 32% 293 shares
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAI 40% 1,341 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12PM ETDown 49% 733 shares
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No 51% 63 shares
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No 41% 63 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 22% 75 shares
- Will Noëp win Eesti Laul 2026?No 90% 395 shares
- Will Noëp win Eesti Laul 2026?No 85% 395 shares