Yes position
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $240.46
- Potential profit
- $240.46
- User PnL
- -$117.4
Polymarket Trader
0x7CD4fDB6047eab243a1bABbd9de611B9CC295c6a-1762965660757
0x7cd4fdb6047eab243a1babbd9de611b9cc295c6a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $46.69
- Realized PnL
- $369.01
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $132.1
- Potential profit
- $132.1
- User PnL
- -$29.06
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $46.69
- Potential payout
- $49.41
- Potential profit
- $2.72
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $4.69
Yes position
Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.48
- Potential profit
- $43.48
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
Yes position
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.65
Yes position
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.49
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.94
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.75
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.5
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.73
No position
Will Allstate run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.34
Yes position
Will Jara win by 3-6%?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.3
No position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $14.28
Yes position
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.92
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.87
Yes position
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.28
Yes position
Will Jara win by 0-3%?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.24
Yes position
Will the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.97
Team Heretics position
LoL: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.69
Movistar KOI position
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.56
Yes position
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by February 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
Yes position
Will Evelyn Matthei come in third in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.55
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Yes position
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will Franco Parisi come in third in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.86
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 85% 49.41 shares
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Yes 7% 117.4 shares
- Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No 84% 40.81 shares
- Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?Yes 48.8% 240.46 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?Yes 21.5% 125 shares
- Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes 38% 250 shares
- Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes 60% 250 shares
- Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes 23% 43.48 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?Yes 12% 125 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 22% 127.84 shares
- GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?Yes 85.8% 43.12 shares
- GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?Yes 73.8% 162.53 shares