Polymarket Trader

rocbalie2

0x7ce87a2dd65f639943a0fece389e3163bef1144a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.91K
Realized PnL: $242.32
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $1.73K
Potential payout: $10.51K
Potential profit: $8.77K
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$197

No position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $91.67
Potential payout: $555.56
Potential profit: $463.89
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$8.33

Yes position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $414.29
Potential profit: $414.29
User PnL: -$29

Yes position

Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $309.36
Potential profit: $309.36
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110.82
Potential profit: $110.82
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 56.9%
Current value: $39.91
Potential payout: $70.18
Potential profit: $30.27
Multiplier: 1.76x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.5
Potential profit: $37.5
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 59.4%
Current value: $19.47
Potential payout: $32.79
Potential profit: $13.32
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$0.53

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 77.8%
Current value: $24.68
Potential payout: $31.75
Potential profit: $7.06
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $4.68

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.69

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.89

Belgium position

United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.63

No position

Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.28

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.74

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.95

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.86

No position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Yes 63% 31.75 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Yes 61% 32.79 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 57% 70.18 shares
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 16% 187.5 shares
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 16% 68.75 shares
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 16.3% 306.59 shares
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 16.7% 65.88 shares
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 17% 58.82 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 89% 5.62 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 67% 1.49 shares
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Belgium 77% 1.3 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 67% 14.93 shares