Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $28.48
- Potential payout
- $438.16
- Potential profit
- $409.68
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$48.92
Polymarket Trader
0x7cea...4ad1
0x7ceafc97c0f512b2cf7b689929d0c5d374094ad1
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $39.34
- Realized PnL
- $192.75
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $10.86
- Potential payout
- $255.48
- Potential profit
- $244.63
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- $2.94
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.61
Yes position
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.16
Arthur Fils position
BNP Paribas Open: Arthur Fils vs Felix Auger-Aliassime
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.77
No position
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.09
Jack Draper position
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draper
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.14
Jack Draper position
BNP Paribas Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Jack Draper
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.17
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
Islanders position
Islanders vs. Sharks
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96
Cuba position
First Round Pool A: Cuba vs. Colombia
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.18
Red Wings position
Red Wings vs. Devils
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17
William & Mary Tribe position
Spread: William & Mary Tribe (-5.5)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
No position
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53
Bucks position
Hawks vs. Bucks: 1H Moneyline
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.86
Down position
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 5?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
Alberto Montes position
UFC 326: Ricky Turcios vs. Alberto Montes (Featherweight, Prelims)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
SAVE America Act becomes law by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will the DHS shutdown end between March 24-27, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
SAVE America Act becomes law by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 5?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Adam Scott win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 5?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?Yes 4.3% 23.56 shares
- Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?Yes 8% 12.63 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 16% 112.5 shares
- Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31?No 99% 1.02 shares
- Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31?No 97.4% 1.04 shares
- Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?No 9.1% 11.1 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes 2.7% 118.8 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes 10% 118.8 shares
- Anthropic CEO arrested?Yes 1.7% 165 shares
- Anthropic CEO arrested?Yes 2% 495 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No 14% 169.64 shares
- Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes 15% 85.47 shares