Polymarket Trader

ceruiug

0x7cf1a34abb0414f5ac5890b8f24204c59d0faf48

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $162.62
Realized PnL: $236.42
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Nuggets position

Nuggets vs. Heat

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.92K
Potential profit: $2.92K
User PnL: -$1.69K

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $362.06
Potential profit: $362.06
User PnL: -$278.79

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 86.3%
Current value: $162.62
Potential payout: $188.55
Potential profit: $25.93
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$17.63

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.5

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.93

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.79

No position

Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.79

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.65

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.34

Yes position

Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.9

No position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.56

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.98

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.85

No position

Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-01-11?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.99

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.72

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.21

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.06

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.81

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.11

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27

No position

Will Elon tweet 500 or more times June 6–13?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $135K in September?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

No position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.78

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130K in September?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.51

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Yes 96.5% 120.17 shares
Nuggets vs. Heat

Nuggets 58% 2,917.36 shares
Maduro out in 2025?

No 99.3% 110.97 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in September?

No 97.9% 24.25 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $135K in September?

No 98.9% 101.36 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

Yes 98.7% 38.75 shares
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?

No 97.5% 162.23 shares
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?

No 98.8% 158.18 shares
Will Elon tweet 420–434 times August 1–August 8?

No 99.8% 156.27 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?

No 97% 155.97 shares
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?

No 95% 119.67 shares
Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before July?

No 99% 15.77 shares