Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 16.8%
- Current value
- $25.8K
- Potential payout
- $154K
- Potential profit
- $128.21K
- Multiplier
- 5.97x
- User PnL
- -$51.21K
Polymarket Trader
SheltonDoubter
0x7cf93583951552553bc0d243a8582a3410ed2798
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $162.69K
- Realized PnL
- $234.23K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 83.3%
- Current value
- $128.21K
- Potential payout
- $154K
- Potential profit
- $25.8K
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $51.21K
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $8.69K
- Potential payout
- $17.56K
- Potential profit
- $8.87K
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $87.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $73.82K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $67.95K
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $53.2K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.51K
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.67K
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $3.83K
Yes position
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.75K
No position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61K
No position
Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.34K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $873.63
No position
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $751.69
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $716.03
No position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $660.54
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $556.8
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $454.91
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $429.88
No position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $428.92
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $422.84
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $376.83
No position
Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $327.5
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $325.49
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $280.56
Yes position
Will Trump dance today?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $269.69
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?Yes 49% 12,096.4 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 93.4% 5,636.09 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.4% 1,000 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.4% 9,000 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 98.9% 100,000 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.5% 159.8 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.6% 30,000 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.5% 40,000 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.4% 10,000 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.1% 100,000 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.9% 599.98 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 93.7% 99.99 shares