No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $516.51
- Potential profit
- $516.51
- User PnL
- -$292.75
Polymarket Trader
0x7d112A37E699cB5dC38a2B8Af3Bc800928c4b3A4-1774135829093
0x7d112a37e699cb5dc38a2b8af3bc800928c4b3a4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $307
- Realized PnL
- $1.21K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.3%
- Current value
- $125
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $275
- Multiplier
- 3.20x
- User PnL
- $17
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 49%
- Current value
- $122.5
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $127.5
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- $45
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$162.5
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$84
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $19
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $180.99
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$49
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $190
- Potential profit
- $190
- User PnL
- -$129.2
No position
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $180
- Potential profit
- $180
- User PnL
- -$90
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $178.57
- Potential profit
- $178.57
- User PnL
- -$75
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $40.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $59.5
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$8.5
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$66
No position
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $99.99
- User PnL
- -$34
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.4
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $119.09
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.08
No position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.02
No position
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.5
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.9
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.96
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.18
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.5
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35
No position
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.18
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33
No position
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.1
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30.04
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.4
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23
No position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.63
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.8
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.43
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- $9.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?No 90% 409.53 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 36.9% 300 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?Yes 34% 128 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No 42% 178.57 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 69% 200 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No 42% 200 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No 71% 100 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 83% 330 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?Yes 81% 100 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No 65.4% 100 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No 86% 90 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?No 88% 80 shares