Polymarket Trader

bmtr

0x7d1bb9f000e5fce13db3a0927b64aa38e69de75c

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $18.34K
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $490.75
Potential payout: $21.81K
Potential profit: $21.32K
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$153.05

Yes position

Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $409.99
Potential payout: $9.88K
Potential profit: $9.47K
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$2.07K

No position

Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $7.06K
Potential payout: $7.36K
Potential profit: $301.67
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $982.12

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.99K
Potential profit: $6.99K
User PnL: -$897.68

No position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $5K
Potential payout: $5.3K
Potential profit: $294.08
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.39K

Yes position

Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $403.14
Potential payout: $3.36K
Potential profit: $2.96K
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$381.46

Yes position

Will Mistral have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.58
Potential payout: $3.16K
Potential profit: $3.16K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.58

Yes position

Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$600.07

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $220.64
Potential payout: $2.94K
Potential profit: $2.72K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$51.57

No position

Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $1.11K
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $10.12
User PnL: $158.92

No position

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90.1%
Current value: $669.68
Potential payout: $743.68
Potential profit: $74
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $48.21

Yes position

Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 45%
Current value: $273.5
Potential payout: $607.77
Potential profit: $334.27
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: -$52.68

No position

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $592.88
Potential payout: $596.46
Potential profit: $3.58
User PnL: $23.64

Yes position

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $173.75
Potential payout: $542.97
Potential profit: $369.22
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: $9.19

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $71.29
Potential payout: $528.09
Potential profit: $456.8
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$2.6

No position

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $459.66
Potential payout: $487.18
Potential profit: $27.53
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $6.04

No position

Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $362.96
Potential payout: $468.34
Potential profit: $105.38
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $56

Yes position

Will Mistral have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.21
Potential payout: $424.99
Potential profit: $424.78
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.21

No position

Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $330.11
Potential payout: $333.11
Potential profit: $3
User PnL: $65.68

Yes position

Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $303.94
Potential profit: $303.94
User PnL: -$95.09

Yes position

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $218.52
Potential payout: $278.37
Potential profit: $59.85
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $105.51

No position

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $259.05
Potential payout: $272.83
Potential profit: $13.78
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $6.78

No position

Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $219.61
Potential payout: $248.15
Potential profit: $28.54
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $21.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 9% 124 shares
Will Mistral have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 0.1% 75.9 shares
Will Mistral have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 0.1% 125 shares
Will Mistral have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 0.1% 349.09 shares
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 0.1% 10,000 shares
Will Mistral have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 0.1% 3,037.99 shares
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 2.5% 1,135.09 shares
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?

No 94% 19.99 shares
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Yes 12% 18 shares
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 10.5% 81.73 shares
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?

No 3.2% 430.6 shares
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Yes 3.8% 100 shares