Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $80.68K
- Potential payout
- $80.97K
- Potential profit
- $283.39
- User PnL
- $364.35
Polymarket Trader
Qtyu
0x7d2299a379eb0b1c6077c7c419a383da6fb7f0cf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $157.84K
- Realized PnL
- $145.62K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $77.14K
- Potential payout
- $77.33K
- Potential profit
- $193.32
- User PnL
- $116.15
Yes position
Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?
Ends Jun 6, 2027- Implied probability
- 84.8%
- Current value
- $22.47
- Potential payout
- $26.5
- Potential profit
- $4.03
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.16K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.98K
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.56K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.4K
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.15K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.46K
Yes position
Will Kamala win New York by 10+ points?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.13K
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.93K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.58K
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.08K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.92K
No position
Will Biden pardon Trump?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.67K
No position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.42K
No position
Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.34K
No position
Israel strikes Iranian oil in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.29K
Yes position
Will the Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.84K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8K
Yes position
Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.79K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73K
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.62K
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.53K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5K
Yes position
Israel strike on Iran on June 18?
Ends Jun 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.39K
Yes position
Israel strike on Iran on June 17?
Ends Jun 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 98.1% 210 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.1% 112 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 98.3% 197.44 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 97.6% 3,200 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 97.2% 5 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 97.2% 200 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 95% 10,000 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 99.1% 720.58 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 97% 2,900 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 96.3% 161 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 92% 27 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 92% 15,700 shares