No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $93.13K
- Potential payout
- $93.98K
- Potential profit
- $845.81
- User PnL
- $4.11K
Polymarket Trader
dfamsword
0x7d33a786a95318f81f8cc7e37e1cb0bd7d305502
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $110.43K
- Realized PnL
- $6.65K
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $17.3K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $2.7K
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $500
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $206.74
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.02
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $84
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.02
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.81
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$985.57
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 96% 25,500 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 97.6% 7,029.05 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.6% 51,684 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 94% 16,000 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?No 98.7% 1,200 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?No 98.4% 1,500 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?No 98.2% 577.25 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?No 98% 2,700 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?No 97.5% 5,798.74 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 94% 20,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No 88% 7,000 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 99.7% 6,050.15 shares