Yes position
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1K
- Potential payout
- $400K
- Potential profit
- $399K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$200
Polymarket Trader
uponlyalpha
0x7d349ef434d14f7c74b48836d8a633cd592d47c8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.28K
- Realized PnL
- $992.64
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $831.75
- Potential payout
- $332.7K
- Potential profit
- $331.87K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$168.35
Yes position
Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $187.88
- Potential payout
- $1.98K
- Potential profit
- $1.79K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$38.05
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $34.04
- Potential payout
- $1.84K
- Potential profit
- $1.81K
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.92
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.9%
- Current value
- $75.95
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $624.05
- Multiplier
- 9.22x
- User PnL
- -$14.35
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.2%
- Current value
- $95.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $404.25
- Multiplier
- 5.22x
- User PnL
- $15.25
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $17.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $482.75
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- $7.25
Yes position
Fabric FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $482.93
- Potential profit
- $482.93
- User PnL
- -$9.66
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $9.63
- Potential payout
- $450
- Potential profit
- $440.37
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- $1.63
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $220
- Potential profit
- $220
- User PnL
- -$83.6
Yes position
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $217.94
- Potential profit
- $217.94
- User PnL
- -$72.05
Yes position
Fabric FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $208.9
- Potential profit
- $208.9
- User PnL
- -$12.53
Yes position
Will Justin Hood win the PDC World Darts Championship?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $207.38
- Potential profit
- $207.38
- User PnL
- -$7.47
Yes position
idOS FDV above $80M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $168.51
- Potential profit
- $168.51
- User PnL
- -$7.18
Yes position
Will Luke Humphries win the PDC World Darts Championship?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $160
- Potential profit
- $160
- User PnL
- -$25.6
No position
Block Street FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $160
- Potential profit
- $160
- User PnL
- -$5.37
Yes position
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-10-21?
Ends Oct 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $108.33
- Potential profit
- $108.33
- User PnL
- -$19.42
Yes position
Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100.72
- Potential profit
- $100.72
- User PnL
- -$11.68
Yes position
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-10-21?
Ends Oct 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$16
Yes position
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.2
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.8
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Yes position
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $22.94
- Potential payout
- $97.63
- Potential profit
- $74.69
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $7.68
Yes position
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-10-21?
Ends Oct 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- -$15.7
Yes position
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-29?
Ends Dec 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$7.2
No position
Block Street FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.66
- Potential profit
- $7.66
- User PnL
- -$3.83
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $225.7
No position
Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.08
Yes position
Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $104.46
Yes position
Space FDV above $40M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $96.11
Yes position
Fabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.68
Yes position
Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.72
No position
Paradex FDV above $750M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.51
Yes position
Will Luke Littler win the PDC World Darts Championship?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39
No position
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $29.38
No position
Stable FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.03
Yes position
Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.99
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.37
Yes position
Reya FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- $16.4
Yes position
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.3
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- $12
No position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25?
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.54
No position
Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.69
No position
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.96
Yes position
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.85
Yes position
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.96
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.49
No position
Aztec FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26
No position
Paradex FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.85
Yes position
Fabric FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.3% 400,000 shares
- Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.3% 330,000 shares
- Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.3% 700.81 shares
- Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.3% 1,000 shares
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.4% 100 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 12.9% 700 shares
- Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.1% 100 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.8% 2,000 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.3% 400 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.6% 250 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 9.7% 400 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.2% 2,000 shares