Polymarket Trader

AF2028

0x7d56d84778fc6caa66f517be0ebe1df5d9f54950

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $65.92K
Realized PnL: $57.89K
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $33.85K
Potential payout: $1.65M
Potential profit: $1.62M
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$2.5K

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $31.49K
Potential payout: $677.23K
Potential profit: $645.74K
Multiplier: 21.51x
User PnL: $2.4K

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $350
Potential payout: $33.33K
Potential profit: $32.98K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$249.97

Yes position

Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.1K
Potential profit: $10.1K
User PnL: -$2.6K

Yes position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.01K
Potential profit: $10.01K
User PnL: -$5.16K

Yes position

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $63.89
Potential payout: $7.52K
Potential profit: $7.45K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$11.27

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.7%
Current value: $142.31
Potential payout: $763.05
Potential profit: $620.74
Multiplier: 5.36x
User PnL: $7.31

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $26.25
Potential payout: $576.92
Potential profit: $550.67
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$3.75

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.34K

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.54K

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.97K

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.31K

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.55K

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.18K

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $946.03

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $595.4

No position

Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $497.27

Yes position

Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $375.85

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $371.33

No position

Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $300.95

Yes position

Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: $204.88

No position

Will Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.27

No position

Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.07

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.8%
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$60.18

Yes position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$67.43

Yes position

Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$196.69

Yes position

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$295.75

Yes position

Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1%
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$305.83

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$750

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$999.98

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.76K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.01K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 1.9% 16,097.08 shares
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 4.7% 16,224.33 shares
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 3.1% 5,483.87 shares
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 2.9% 4,482.76 shares
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 3% 666.67 shares
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 2.8% 21,428.57 shares
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 2.8% 35,714.29 shares
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 6% 5,661.12 shares
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 2.8% 2,142.86 shares
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 2.8% 17,857.14 shares
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 2.8% 3,571.43 shares
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 2.8% 3,571.43 shares