No position
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $94.88
- Potential payout
- $291.94
- Potential profit
- $197.06
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- $7.09
Polymarket Trader
Zukat
0x7d58f89de0070ec4f34dd9c693a13acac4d31c3e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $373.53
- Realized PnL
- $104.55
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $156.69
- Potential payout
- $191.09
- Potential profit
- $34.4
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $60.79
No position
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $63.56
- Potential payout
- $89.53
- Potential profit
- $25.96
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $33.56
No position
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Current value
- $23.01
- Potential payout
- $24.81
- Potential profit
- $1.8
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $7.01
Down position
Canada's population Up or Down this year?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $13.12
- Potential payout
- $16.61
- Potential profit
- $3.49
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $3.12
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $14.86
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- User PnL
- $4.96
No position
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.79
- Potential profit
- $12.79
- User PnL
- -$8.31
No position
Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $7.4
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $2.6
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $2.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.08
- Potential profit
- $2.08
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.62
No position
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.72
No position
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.07
No position
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.98
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.3
No position
Will there be at least 750 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.24
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $5.67
No position
Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.57
No position
Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.48
No position
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.27
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.24
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
Under position
Cagliari Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44
No position
Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.06
No position
Will Trump say "Tariff" 5+ times during Taoiseach events?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 79% 13.51 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 37% 13.51 shares
- Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No 23% 20 shares
- Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No 26% 19.23 shares
- Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?No 50% 10 shares
- Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No 22.3% 44.87 shares
- Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No 19% 52.63 shares
- Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No 24.2% 41.36 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETDown 48% 2.08 shares
- Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No 38% 13 shares
- Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No 41% 23 shares
- Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No 41% 20.73 shares