Polymarket Trader

positivetransformation

0x7d5b4d37b41ae0662158ff3f99a8797fd41e0f2d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $479.79
Realized PnL: $122.33
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $183.15
Potential payout: $216.87
Potential profit: $33.72
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$12.9

Yes position

Will Trump praise Elon Musk by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.1%
Current value: $195.25
Potential payout: $207.6
Potential profit: $12.35
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$11.73

No position

World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $101.4
Potential payout: $103.1
Potential profit: $1.7
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $3.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.41

No position

Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.49

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.98

No position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.11

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.96

No position

Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.04

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.93

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.72

No position

Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.44

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.43

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in December?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.32

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.02

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.88

Down position

Solana Up or Down on July 24?

Ends Jul 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.78

No position

Fed rate cut by July meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.61

No position

Will Tennessee win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.02

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.97

No position

Starmer out by May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48

Yes position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

Team Liquid PH position

Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid PH vs Aurora Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

No position

Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in December?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

No position

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 95.1% 206.4 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 90.4% 216.87 shares
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?

No 95.2% 103.1 shares
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Yes 99.8% 483.07 shares
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?

No 99.5% 328.62 shares
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?

No 99.9% 139.51 shares
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?

No 99.8% 458.48 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

No 98.2% 77.48 shares
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

No 94.6% 10 shares
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid PH vs Aurora Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Team Liquid PH 99.2% 22.5 shares
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?

Yes 99.5% 164.82 shares
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Yes 98.8% 163.97 shares