No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Current value
- $56.13K
- Potential payout
- $60K
- Potential profit
- $3.87K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $117.66
Polymarket Trader
SILF
0x7d5d15335ec60449995971a563fd94e060f091d8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $81.02K
- Realized PnL
- $58.71K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $24.89K
- Potential payout
- $25K
- Potential profit
- $112.5
- User PnL
- $198.45
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.1%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.91
- Multiplier
- 11.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $0.91
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.41
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $6.03K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.41K
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.33K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.77K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.18K
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.64K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $2.58K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.48K
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54K
Yes position
Will the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minutes or longer?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37K
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34K
No position
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.7% 143.87 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Ilia Topuria 48% 499.99 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.4% 771.16 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.4% 1,075.62 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 97.7% 8,815.89 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 99.1% 5,000 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 99.9% 10,000 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.4% 258.14 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.4% 500 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 97.8% 37.4 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 99.1% 5,000 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.4% 15,000 shares