Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $553.06
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Polymarket Trader
notaponzischeme
0x7d61b3e7af5fc41ca625c9576a7f864d0d21aad6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $91.78
- Realized PnL
- -$3.96
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $7.11
- Potential payout
- $180
- Potential profit
- $172.89
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$2.43
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $18.45
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $81.55
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $9.45
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.6%
- Current value
- $8.64
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $91.36
- Multiplier
- 11.57x
- User PnL
- $1.24
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.2%
- Current value
- $9.14
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $80.87
- Multiplier
- 9.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.86
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $14.92
- Potential payout
- $65
- Potential profit
- $50.08
- Multiplier
- 4.36x
- User PnL
- $4.45
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.6%
- Current value
- $7.51
- Potential payout
- $65
- Potential profit
- $57.49
- Multiplier
- 8.66x
- User PnL
- -$2.96
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $21.09
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $10.16
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $1.09
No position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.94
- Potential profit
- $7.94
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $6
- User PnL
- -$1.14
Yes position
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $2.43
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $2.58
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$1.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $6.07
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $4.17
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.48
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 12%
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- $0.81
Yes position
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.18
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.63
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12.86
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 64% 31.25 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 90% 17.85 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 77% 11.9 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?No 98.7% 7.57 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?No 98.5% 7.29 shares
- Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.9% 555.56 shares
- Will Neymar play in the World Cup?No 63% 7.94 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 56% 17.86 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?No 66% 7.58 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 42% 11.9 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?No 68.5% 7.3 shares
- Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes 11.8% 10 shares