Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.7%
- Current value
- $97.64
- Potential payout
- $496.89
- Potential profit
- $399.25
- Multiplier
- 5.09x
- User PnL
- $17.64
Polymarket Trader
0x7d66502380F4a7dc5bd052B7379Bfb3fD030eCf0-1772520792507
0x7d66502380f4a7dc5bd052b7379bfb3fd030ecf0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $486.8
- Realized PnL
- $609.73
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $64.24
- Potential payout
- $470.59
- Potential profit
- $406.35
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$15.76
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $251.98
- Potential profit
- $251.98
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $160.29
- Potential profit
- $160.29
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60%
- Current value
- $74.28
- Potential payout
- $123.81
- Potential profit
- $49.52
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- $14.28
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $93.9
- Potential payout
- $106.1
- Potential profit
- $12.2
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $23.9
Yes position
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $22.55
- Potential payout
- $85.11
- Potential profit
- $62.55
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$17.45
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.8%
- Current value
- $61.33
- Potential payout
- $74.07
- Potential profit
- $12.74
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $11.33
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Current value
- $65.86
- Potential payout
- $70.36
- Potential profit
- $4.5
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $19.86
Yes position
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.48
- Potential profit
- $43.48
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.6
- Potential profit
- $35.6
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $2.54
- Potential payout
- $23.08
- Potential profit
- $20.54
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $2.15
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $7.85
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $2.31
- Potential payout
- $4.76
- Potential profit
- $2.45
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $0.31
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $155.52
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $61.67
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.85
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.1
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.59
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.34
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $27.56
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.14
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.56
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.24
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.31
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.96
Yes position
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.83
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.43
No position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.41
No position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.71
No position
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.67
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.28
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.43
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.01
No position
Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $5.94
No position
Kash Patel out by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.34
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.73
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?Yes 77% 5.4 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 19% 80 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 75.4% 46.42 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 52% 187.5 shares
- Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30?No 92.9% 60.2 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 74% 60.81 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 46% 282.61 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 82.9% 144.75 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?No 96.6% 41.12 shares
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 66% 106.1 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17% 470.59 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.1% 496.89 shares