Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.35K
- Potential profit
- $15.35K
- User PnL
- -$5.32K
Polymarket Trader
Israelwin
0x7d6cb40d70f0da54012b74ec542ddfa875680e2c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $649.21
- Realized PnL
- $4K
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.02K
- Potential profit
- $4.02K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $483.33
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $2.85K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$16.66
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $165.88
- Potential payout
- $3.04K
- Potential profit
- $2.88K
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$251.14
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- User PnL
- -$130
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $477.78
- Potential profit
- $477.78
- User PnL
- -$129
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.27K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $849.18
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $745.43
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $386.86
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $169.53
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.18
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$55.48
Yes position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$371.42
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes 15% 3,333.33 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 43.8% 1,511.18 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?Yes 2.5% 4,018.96 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?No 90% 555.55 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 15?No 8% 1,250 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 82% 5,548.65 shares
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Yes 5.8% 2,200.47 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 83% 2,536.6 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 83% 1,807.23 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 83% 1,204.82 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Yes 46.9% 4,266.68 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes 37.1% 269.53 shares