No position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Current value
- $21.12
- Potential payout
- $33
- Potential profit
- $11.88
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- $4.62
Polymarket Trader
0x7d84...a615
0x7d8488f27fc7839db5f794b46ee71b9d95e2a615
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $119.8
- Realized PnL
- -$35.24
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $27
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $3
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $2.55
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $23.48
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $0.52
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.78
Yes position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $0.76
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.24
- Multiplier
- 26.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Yes position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $4.65
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $10.35
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- -$2.85
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.8%
- Current value
- $12.01
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $1.99
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.34
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $10.74
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $1.26
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $8.67
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $0.33
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $0.6
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $5.4
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Yes position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.1%
- Current value
- $1.8
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.2
- Multiplier
- 2.77x
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $4.3
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.7
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $3
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $1.67
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $0.33
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.67
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 69%
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- $2.9
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.93x
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.9%
- Multiplier
- 14.49x
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Multiplier
- 15.63x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.1%
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- -$2.82
Yes position
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$3.8
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.9
Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36%
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- -$9.3
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.3%
- Multiplier
- 7.02x
- User PnL
- -$15.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Yes 26.8% 5 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?Yes 6.6% 18 shares
- Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?No 96% 9 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No 87% 12 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?No 74% 5 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 85.6% 7 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No 94.6% 24 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 49.9% 7 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 90.8% 7 shares
- Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?No 95.6% 10 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 28% 7 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 45.4% 5 shares