Yes position
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $22.85
- Potential payout
- $45.7K
- Potential profit
- $45.68K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$22.85
Polymarket Trader
rerdc43
0x7d887247664172f5d659cf201d7cdd7d632a487c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $56.76
- Realized PnL
- $126.05
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $33.91
- Potential payout
- $34.27
- Potential profit
- $0.36
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Warriors position
Warriors vs. Bulls
Ends Dec 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.62
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Pelicans
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne position
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. BCM Gravelines Dunkerque
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Wisconsin Badgers position
Washington Huskies vs. Wisconsin Badgers
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
OpTic Texas position
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 3 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Los Angeles Thieves position
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Cloud9 New York (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 3 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Sinner position
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Fils (+1.5)
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-05-01?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 1?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 1?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?No 99.2% 34.27 shares
- Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No 99.9% 3.66 shares
- Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No 99.9% 3 shares
- Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No 99.9% 3 shares
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No 99.9% 4.5 shares
- Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No 99.9% 4.14 shares
- Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No 99.9% 4.16 shares
- Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No 99.9% 4.15 shares
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No 99.6% 3.71 shares
- Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 5?No 99.7% 3.01 shares
- Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 5?Yes 99.5% 2.01 shares
- Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Fils (+1.5)Sinner 98% 1.41 shares