Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $207
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.59K
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$310.95
Polymarket Trader
vinifm04
0x7d9329df7490ec1ad4e5d689badeb7c12890ed34
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $207
- Realized PnL
- -$8.24
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 14?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $547.62
- Potential profit
- $547.62
- User PnL
- -$43
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.48
- Potential profit
- $43.48
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 14?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.76
- Potential profit
- $20.76
- User PnL
- -$6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $8.23
Yes position
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?
Ends Jan 12, 2027- Implied probability
- 31.8%
- Multiplier
- 3.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Yes position
Negative GDP growth in 2026?
Ends Jan 29, 2027- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Multiplier
- 15.75x
- User PnL
- -$15.91
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Negative GDP growth in 2026?Yes 9.5% 200 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 22.5% 248.99 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?Yes 30% 1,100 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?Yes 30% 200 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 19.2% 60 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 19.2% 91.01 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 19.2% 5 shares
- Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 2.3% 53.42 shares
- Negative GDP growth in 2026?Yes 17.5% 200 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?Yes 27% 100 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?Yes 27% 100 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?Yes 27% 100 shares