0x7dad...147c

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $291.61
Potential profit: $291.61
User PnL: -$10.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $89.12
Potential payout: $274.22
Potential profit: $185.1
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $71.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $272.69
Potential profit: $272.69
User PnL: -$4.26

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $63.76
Potential payout: $190.32
Potential profit: $126.56
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $47.79

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $163.08
Potential payout: $163.08
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $48.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on June 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $155
Potential profit: $155
User PnL: -$2.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150.46
Potential profit: $150.46
User PnL: -$115.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $135.99
Potential profit: $135.99
User PnL: -$2.7

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $94.25
Potential profit: $94.25
User PnL: -$4.71

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on June 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $88.41
Potential profit: $88.41
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on June 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84.82
Potential profit: $84.82
User PnL: -$4.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.6
Potential profit: $83.6
User PnL: -$2.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.12
Potential profit: $81.12
User PnL: -$1.02

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $57.15
Potential payout: $79.93
Potential profit: $22.78
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $37.33

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $20
Potential payout: $70.21
Potential profit: $50.21
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $17.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.18
Potential profit: $67.18
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.98
Potential profit: $65.98
User PnL: -$1.46

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.33
Potential profit: $65.33
User PnL: -$18.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.06
Potential profit: $63.06
User PnL: -$3.06

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.58
Potential profit: $55.58
User PnL: -$43.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54
Potential profit: $54
User PnL: -$1.08

Down position

Solana Up or Down - June 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $53.98
Potential payout: $53.98
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $18.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.95
Potential profit: $50.95
User PnL: -$1.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $211.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $195.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $193.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.57

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.61

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.85

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.47

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.81

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.93

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.14

Down position

Solana Up or Down - June 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET