Polymarket Trader

0x7DaF0de256F097eA9a9B23C6268F02D82eCA3b90-1771779616721

0x7daf0de256f097ea9a9b23c6268f02d82eca3b90

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $25.18
Realized PnL: $293.95
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $1.27K
Potential profit: $1.27K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$17.97

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $7.02
Potential payout: $585.01
Potential profit: $577.99
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$7.98

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $195.85
Potential profit: $195.85
User PnL: -$8.34

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $5.43
Potential payout: $105.5
Potential profit: $100.07
Multiplier: 19.42x
User PnL: $1.21

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.3
Potential profit: $58.3
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $9.39
Potential payout: $24.39
Potential profit: $15
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$0.61

No position

Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $1.98
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $18.85
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$3.02

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.25
Potential profit: $7.25
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $0.72
Potential payout: $6.46
Potential profit: $5.74
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: -$0.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.74

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.16

No position

Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.06

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.12

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.53

Under position

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 3.5

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.62

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.34

Under position

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.84

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.56

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.43

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.39

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.59

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 25% 20 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Yes 2.6% 585.01 shares
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?

No 24% 20.83 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 41% 24.39 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 69% 7.25 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

No 7.6% 105.23 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Yes 1.5% 1,268.21 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Yes 1.1% 360.93 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 5% 122.4 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?

Yes 2.7% 312.5 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?

No 4.3% 195.85 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T?

Yes 2% 453.28 shares