Yes position
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $17.86
- Potential payout
- $55.81
- Potential profit
- $37.95
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- -$2.34
Polymarket Trader
frevel
0x7db110f2b108a77e478c7b7b89201aff0206802e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $27.52
- Realized PnL
- $2.68
- Win rate
- 55.6%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.7%
- Current value
- $6.79
- Potential payout
- $29.91
- Potential profit
- $23.12
- Multiplier
- 4.41x
- User PnL
- -$6.21
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.3%
- Current value
- $1.42
- Potential payout
- $11.63
- Potential profit
- $10.2
- Multiplier
- 8.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $1.45
- Potential payout
- $10.71
- Potential profit
- $9.27
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$1.55
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.58
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.48
Yes position
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23
Davos position
NL: Fribourg-Gotteron vs. Davos
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55
Yes position
Will MrBeast say "Dollar" 5+ times during his next video?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20%
- Multiplier
- 5.01x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.14
Yes position
Will MrBeast say "Thank You" during his next video?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?Yes 33% 12.91 shares
- Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?Yes 34% 12.91 shares
- NL: Fribourg-Gotteron vs. DavosDavos 65% 1.51 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 19.1% 5.34 shares
- NL: Fribourg-Gotteron vs. DavosDavos 48% 2.02 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETDown 57% 1.65 shares
- Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?Yes 82.5% 12.12 shares
- Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?No 73% 15.07 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETUp 76% 6.35 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETUp 29% 6.19 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETUp 48% 9.64 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 23% 25.49 shares