Yes position
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $18.57
- Potential payout
- $379.03
- Potential profit
- $360.45
- Multiplier
- 20.41x
- User PnL
- -$117.88
Polymarket Trader
Sirusss
0x7db1fa022febfecfcaf6fce709e9ba73c9f2f71a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $18.57
- Realized PnL
- -$2.34K
- Win rate
- 21.1%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $346.61
Yes position
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.89
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.8
Yes position
Claude 4.7 released by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.95
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Multiplier
- 15.27x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 61.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 76.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 39%
- Multiplier
- 2.57x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.9%
- Multiplier
- 4.19x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 43%
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 57%
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.87K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump visit China by June 30?Yes 99.4% 12,000 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 8.8% 2,000 shares
- Claude 4.7 released by May 31?Yes 99.9% 826.01 shares
- Claude 4.7 released by May 31?Yes 98.9% 145.63 shares