Polymarket Trader

0x7Db4d9d1Decd9EE595eA4B51af9076c4d6B407c9-1768169729408

0x7db4d9d1decd9ee595ea4b51af9076c4d6b407c9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $705.02
Realized PnL: $662.01
Win rate: 60.9%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 23
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $260.55
Potential payout: $331.91
Potential profit: $71.36
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $8.3

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.82
Potential profit: $300.82
User PnL: -$165

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $195.75
Potential payout: $281.69
Potential profit: $85.94
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: -$4.25

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $154.06
Potential payout: $272.73
Potential profit: $118.66
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $4.06

Yes position

Will Cape Verde be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $79.73
Potential payout: $270.27
Potential profit: $190.54
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$120.27

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $258.62
Potential profit: $258.62
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $14.93
Potential payout: $142.21
Potential profit: $127.27
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$5.07

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.87
Potential profit: $129.87
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $250

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $245.46

Yes position

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.7

Yes position

Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.85

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.73

Pablo Carreno Busta position

Roland Garros ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Pablo Carreno Busta

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.18

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.94

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.8

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.12

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.06

No position

Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.67

Yes position

Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.97

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.16

No position

US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.9

Yes position

Will Panama be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$19.78

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$30.77

No position

Will Bugonia be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$62.64

Yes position

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$98.33

No position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$220

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

No 76% 331.91 shares
Will Panama be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Yes 75% 254.84 shares
Will Cape Verde be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Yes 74% 270.27 shares
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Yes 55% 272.73 shares
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Yes 14.1% 142.21 shares
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 71% 281.69 shares
Roland Garros ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Pablo Carreno Busta

Pablo Carreno Busta 73% 341.4 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 15.4% 129.87 shares
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 58% 258.62 shares
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 0.8% 208.93 shares
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 58% 185.24 shares
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

No 62% 241.94 shares