Polymarket Trader

erokha

0x7dbc916b0c3360c955870a49304d75916a64d4ad

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $474.64
Realized PnL: $18.37K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.64K
Potential profit: $72.64K
User PnL: -$2K

Yes position

Will there be between 6 and 9 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.34K
Potential profit: $19.34K
User PnL: -$3.3K

Yes position

Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $397.3
Potential payout: $18.92K
Potential profit: $18.52K
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: $215.98

Yes position

Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $77.34
Potential payout: $17.19K
Potential profit: $17.11K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $25.78

Yes position

Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.48K
Potential profit: $16.48K
User PnL: -$1.12K

Over position

O/U 2.5 Rounds

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.52K
Potential profit: $6.52K
User PnL: -$3.34K

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$989.81

Thiago Moises position

UFC Fight Night: Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young (Lightweight, Prelims)

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.44K
Potential profit: $2.44K
User PnL: -$999.97

Adrian Luna Martinetti position

UFC Fight Night: Davey Grant vs. Adrian Luna Martinetti (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.13K
Potential profit: $2.13K
User PnL: -$999.65

No position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$887.41

No position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$952.49

Belal Muhammad position

UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$1K

No position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$955.09

No position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$933.36

Jirí Procházka position

UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.96K
Potential profit: $1.96K
User PnL: -$999.6

No position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.68K
Potential profit: $1.68K
User PnL: -$815

Kyoji Horiguchi position

UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.34K
Potential profit: $1.34K
User PnL: -$548.17

Shamil Gaziev position

UFC Fight Night: Shamil Gaziev vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.27K
Potential profit: $1.27K
User PnL: -$559.16

Geoff Neal position

UFC Fight Night: Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic (Welterweight, Prelims)

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$640

Price position

UFC Fight Night: Niko Price vs. Nikolay Veretennikov (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.93
Potential profit: $999.93
User PnL: -$279.98

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $519
Potential profit: $519
User PnL: -$41.52

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $519
Potential profit: $519
User PnL: -$61.68

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $519
Potential profit: $519
User PnL: -$61.68

Vera position

UFC Fight Night: Marlon Vera vs. David Martinez (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $370
Potential profit: $370
User PnL: -$99.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.85K

Over position

O/U 2.5 Rounds

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.23K

Ion Cutelaba position

UFC Fight Night: Ion Cutelaba vs. Oumar Sy (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85K

Gaethje position

UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.73K

Cody Garbrandt position

UFC 326: Cody Garbrandt vs. Xiao Long (Bantamweight, Prelims)

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44K

Aljamain Sterling position

UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22K

No position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12K

Khaos Williams position

UFC Fight Night: Khaos Williams vs. Nikolay Veretennikov (Welterweight, Prelims)

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1K

Under position

O/U 2.5 Rounds

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $436.28

Over position

O/U 1.5 Rounds

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $348.02

Over position

O/U 1.5 Rounds

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $329

Yes position

Fight to Go the Distance?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $258.93

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $204.7

No position

Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 67.5%
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $65.07

Yes position

Will the US strike Somalia next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.34

No position

Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.44

Yes position

Will "Jamie" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (February 8)

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.58

Tuivasa position

UFC 325: Tuivasa vs. Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $35.13

Yes position

Fight to Go the Distance?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Over position

O/U 2.5 Rounds

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.9

Drew Dober position

UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.48

Over position

O/U 2.5 Rounds

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.4

No position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 27-February 2?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.91

No position

Will the US deport illegal migrants to Argentina by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

O/U 2.5 Rounds

Over 50% 52.02 shares
O/U 2.5 Rounds

Over 49% 62.58 shares
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?

Yes 59% 1.69 shares
O/U 2.5 Rounds

Over 48% 2 shares
UFC Fight Night: Shamil Gaziev vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)

Shamil Gaziev 44% 244.92 shares
UFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia (Lightweight, Prelims)

Rafa Garcia 48% 2,083 shares
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 0.5% 4,286 shares
O/U 2.5 Rounds

Over 51% 9.85 shares
UFC Fight Night: Ion Cutelaba vs. Oumar Sy (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ion Cutelaba 26% 3,846 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy

Yes 3% 442.73 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy

Yes 2.6% 9,598.06 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy

Yes 2.9% 17,934.07 shares