No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $50
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.8
Polymarket Trader
0x7dcd...73ca
0x7dcd67eab012699298d0d28ea51a26763eb573ca
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $100.33
- Realized PnL
- -$14.51
- Win rate
- 41.2%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $2.18
- Potential payout
- $29
- Potential profit
- $26.83
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Yes position
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $21
- Potential payout
- $21
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $14.07
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $5.3
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $14.7
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $0.58
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $10.42
- Multiplier
- 18.87x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
No position
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $10.18
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $0.82
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $1.13
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $7.88
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $7.97
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$2.16
Yes position
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $0.24
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $7.76
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$1.28
No position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $4.73
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $2.28
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $4.98
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.1%
- Multiplier
- 2.85x
- User PnL
- $2.18
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65%
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- $1.37
No position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.3%
- Multiplier
- 6.54x
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Multiplier
- 15.15x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.1%
- Multiplier
- 14.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.3%
- Multiplier
- 3.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Yes position
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$6.4
No position
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$11.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 43.4% 10 shares
- Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?No 89% 11 shares
- Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 11% 29 shares
- Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?No 61.7% 9 shares
- Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Yes 38.2% 9 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Yes 8.1% 18 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?No 83% 5 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 17% 6 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No 93.3% 5 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?No 9.7% 17 shares
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 18% 9 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 62% 6 shares