Polymarket Trader

horatio

0x7dd0ef80b582891d0961ec9cfc65a4d8cae12b4b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.63K
Realized PnL: $90.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Australian hero donation campaign raise less than $2.0 million by December 16?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.13K
Potential profit: $10.13K
User PnL: -$244.47

Yes position

Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $65
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.93K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $1.36K
Potential payout: $9.93K
Potential profit: $8.57K
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$319.39

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.23K
Potential profit: $9.23K
User PnL: -$395.52

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,600 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.1K
Potential profit: $7.1K
User PnL: -$176.38

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $6K
User PnL: -$1.92K

Over position

Seahawks vs. 49ers: O/U 36.5

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$2.75K

Yes position

Will LayerZero win 2025 Uniswap Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$730

Yes position

Will Adam Scott win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.78K
Potential profit: $4.78K
User PnL: -$45.71

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.51K
Potential profit: $4.51K
User PnL: -$250.45

Yes position

Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.48K
Potential profit: $4.48K
User PnL: -$556.01

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.23K
Potential profit: $4.23K
User PnL: -$126.49

No position

Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $2.8K
Potential payout: $4.09K
Potential profit: $1.29K
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $1.59K

Yes position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.05K
Potential profit: $4.05K
User PnL: -$2.06K

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.04K
Potential profit: $4.04K
User PnL: -$1.46K

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$1.63K

Celtics position

76ers vs. Celtics

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.74K
Potential profit: $3.74K
User PnL: -$2.33K

Spurs position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.72K
Potential profit: $3.72K
User PnL: -$1.9K

Yes position

Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $403.16
Potential payout: $3.51K
Potential profit: $3.1K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $17.53

Yes position

Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.41K
Potential profit: $3.41K
User PnL: -$155.57

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.37K
Potential profit: $3.37K
User PnL: -$1.96K

Giants position

Spread: 49ers (-2.5)

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.35K
Potential profit: $3.35K
User PnL: -$1.72K

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Bills position

Ravens vs. Bills

Ends Jan 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.28K

Commanders position

Commanders vs. Lions

Ends Jan 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.77K

Texans position

Chargers vs. Texans

Ends Jan 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.63K

No position

Bitcoin above $97,000 on December 27?

Ends Dec 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.3K

No position

Will Berachain launch in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.95K

Michigan position

Michigan vs. Maryland

Ends Mar 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.35K

Yes position

Will Milton make landfall as a category 3?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.28K

Yes position

USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?

Ends Aug 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.98K

No position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.12K

No position

Will Trump say "crypto/Bitcoin" during RNC speech?

Ends Jul 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.02K

Yes position

Will Pump.fun launch a token by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.64K

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.63K

Yes position

Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.63K

No position

Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference?

Ends Jul 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.39K

Ole Miss position

North Carolina vs. Ole Miss

Ends Mar 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35K

Commanders position

Commanders vs. Chargers

Ends Oct 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.34K

No position

China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?

Ends Aug 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.3K

Ohio State position

Ohio State vs. Oregon

Ends Jan 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26K

Knicks position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2K

Under position

Seahawks vs. 49ers: O/U 49.5

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.16K

No position

Will Milton make landfall as a category 4?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1K

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.99K

No position

Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.93K

No position

MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?

Ends Dec 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.89K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5

Under 43% 1,000 shares
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?

No 92% 1,000 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 71% 100 shares
Will Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 97.9% 1,087.3 shares
Will STRC market cap hit $16B by June 30?

No 99.7% 926.43 shares
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Yes 11% 1,505.76 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?

No 69% 13.76 shares
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 73% 172.3 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

No 91.4% 97.88 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?

No 66% 10.26 shares
Will Paraguay reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 96% 1,346.05 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 94% 183.63 shares