Polymarket Trader

0x7dE03619Ba57327BdccAb1966BCd8e8586Ce6b2b-1770687963712

0x7de03619ba57327bdccab1966bcd8e8586ce6b2b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $856.38
Realized PnL: $194.81
Win rate: 61.5%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $33.04
Potential payout: $3.67K
Potential profit: $3.64K
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$24.55

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 27.8%
Current value: $480.03
Potential payout: $1.73K
Potential profit: $1.25K
Multiplier: 3.60x
User PnL: $180.09

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $197.19
Potential payout: $636.1
Potential profit: $438.91
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: -$5.06

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $72.01
Potential payout: $533.38
Potential profit: $461.38
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$19.85

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $60.6
Potential payout: $100.16
Potential profit: $39.56
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $19.79

No position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $13.51
Potential payout: $17.77
Potential profit: $4.26
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $0.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $103.18

Yes position

Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.21

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.59

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.07

Yes position

Will Daniel Ennis win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.99

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 21.9%
Multiplier: 4.58x
User PnL: $15.07

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.24

No position

US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 67%
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: -$1.46

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 89.4%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$3.09

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.24

Yes position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$21.85

Yes position

Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: -$101.11

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?

Yes 20% 666.88 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?

Yes 18.9% 665 shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 76.6% 474.16 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?

No 76% 7.77 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?

No 75% 10 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?

Yes 14% 42.84 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?

Yes 13.9% 50.1 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?

Yes 11.2% 39 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?

Yes 10.9% 56.4 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?

Yes 8.7% 15 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?

Yes 8.6% 64.92 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?

No 80% 678.86 shares