Polymarket Trader

KTKK

0x7e01fb9dece74b0031696fe104fbcce421cc63be

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $42K
Realized PnL: $37.32K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $1.35K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $8.65K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$149.98

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $7.72K
Potential payout: $9.35K
Potential profit: $1.64K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $171.61

No position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $1.72K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $3.28K
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$525.5

No position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $3.72K
Potential payout: $4.28K
Potential profit: $555.75
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $911.06

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $2.61K
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $892.5
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: -$113.59

No position

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $2.99K
Potential payout: $3.3K
Potential profit: $313.5
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $478.5

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.9%
Current value: $565.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.43K
Multiplier: 5.31x
User PnL: -$1.31K

Yes position

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $180
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.82K
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$810

No position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $2.6K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $405
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $78.77

No position

Will USD/JPY hit 120 (Low) in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $2.58K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $420
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $30

No position

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $2.28K
Potential payout: $2.7K
Potential profit: $418.5
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $589.5

No position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 67.3%
Current value: $1.45K
Potential payout: $2.16K
Potential profit: $705.97
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: $1.29K

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $1.08K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $920.2
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: $228.1

No position

Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 94.7%
Current value: $1.89K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $107
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $374.04

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $21
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.98K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$173.4

No position

Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $1.83K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $170
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $120.48

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $94
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.91K
Multiplier: 21.28x
User PnL: -$212.29

No position

Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $1.8K
Potential payout: $1.83K
Potential profit: $23.74
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $273.18

No position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $1.44K
Potential payout: $1.54K
Potential profit: $92.93
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $173.25

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $1.34K
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $174.67
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $377.89

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,600 on the final trading day of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $81.69
Potential payout: $1.49K
Potential profit: $1.4K
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$962.54

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $1.4K
Potential payout: $1.41K
Potential profit: $9.16
User PnL: $72.9

No position

Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 92.8%
Current value: $1.14K
Potential payout: $1.23K
Potential profit: $89.06
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $43.46

Yes position

Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $115
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $1.03K
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$67.46

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Negative GDP growth in Q2 2025?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.21K

No position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.18K

No position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99K

No position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.48K

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.37K

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25K

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.86K

No position

US recession in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.84K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.71K

No position

Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $350b on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.61K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45K

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 95.5%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $1.11K

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $885.41

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $749.01

Yes position

Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $718.54

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $669.19

Yes position

Will Trump lower tariffs on China by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $645.71

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $621.5

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 95.9%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $620

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 19-25?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $560

Yes position

Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $509.99

No position

Will gas hit (Low) $3.95 by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $489.8

Yes position

Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on November 12?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $455.16

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Fed rate hike in 2026?

No 45% 5,000 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 28% 384.18 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?

No 66.4% 20.06 shares
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Yes 78% 43.55 shares
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?

Yes 70% 319.45 shares
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Yes 78% 721.99 shares
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?

Yes 4.2% 300 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?

Yes 91% 44.44 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?

Yes 75% 15 shares
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?

No 92% 160 shares
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

No 62% 400 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

No 13% 377.39 shares