Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.4%
- Current value
- $103.57
- Potential payout
- $310.56
- Potential profit
- $206.99
- Multiplier
- 3.00x
- User PnL
- $53.57
Polymarket Trader
fdaeaf
0x7e04470e288701214292ddc0d53aa402195367f4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $119.88
- Realized PnL
- $271.33
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $101.6
- Potential profit
- $101.6
- User PnL
- -$72.75
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61
- Potential profit
- $61
- User PnL
- -$42.42
No position
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.92
- Potential profit
- $54.92
- User PnL
- -$39.84
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48
- Potential profit
- $48
- User PnL
- -$35.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.48
- Potential profit
- $46.48
- User PnL
- -$33.65
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.71
- Potential profit
- $40.71
- User PnL
- -$30.84
No position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36
- Potential profit
- $36
- User PnL
- -$24.84
No position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.2
- Potential profit
- $34.2
- User PnL
- -$23.6
Pittsburgh Pirates position
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.19
- Potential profit
- $30.19
- User PnL
- -$4.83
Milwaukee Brewers position
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.19
- Potential profit
- $30.19
- User PnL
- -$4.83
Philadelphia Phillies position
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.19
- Potential profit
- $30.19
- User PnL
- -$4.83
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.9
- Potential profit
- $28.9
- User PnL
- -$20.23
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.44
- Potential profit
- $28.44
- User PnL
- -$20.77
Baltimore Orioles position
Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.33
- Potential profit
- $28.33
- User PnL
- -$5
Texas Rangers position
Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.7
- Potential profit
- $24.7
- User PnL
- -$4.94
Pittsburgh Pirates position
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.14
- Potential profit
- $23.14
- User PnL
- -$4.86
New York Yankees position
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.43
- Potential profit
- $21.43
- User PnL
- -$4.93
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$14.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $9.03
- Potential payout
- $19.84
- Potential profit
- $10.81
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $4.07
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.5
- Potential profit
- $19.5
- User PnL
- -$13.85
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $18
- User PnL
- -$12.24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $7.28
- Potential payout
- $17.14
- Potential profit
- $9.85
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $2.31
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.79
- Potential profit
- $16.79
- User PnL
- -$4.97
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.06
No position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.24
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.33
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.89
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.13
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C or below on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.8
Texas Rangers position
Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.68
No position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.09
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.68
No position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.21
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.14
No position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.77
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.43
No position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.95
No position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.54
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.41
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.22
No position
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.67
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.16
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.92
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.7
No position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on July 4?No 92% 5.38 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 4?No 96.9% 5.08 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 4?No 95% 5.21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 4?No 95% 5.21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on July 4?No 81.1% 5.37 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on July 4?No 91% 5.38 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 4?Yes 38% 13.03 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on July 4?No 96.9% 5.08 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on July 4?No 96.9% 5.08 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 3?No 97% 5.37 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on July 3?No 96.9% 5.08 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 3?No 77% 7.47 shares