NSA002

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $193
Potential profit: $193
User PnL: -$1.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on July 12?

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $31.39
Potential payout: $31.71
Potential profit: $0.32
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $25.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 12?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $28.23
Potential payout: $28.26
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $26.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on July 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.4
Potential profit: $26.4
User PnL: -$5.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 12?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $25.63
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.58

Yes position

Will 150-174 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $4.36
Potential payout: $24.23
Potential profit: $19.87
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.69
Potential profit: $22.69
User PnL: -$1.18

Yes position

Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?

Implied probability: 84.1%
Current value: $18.17
Potential payout: $21.62
Potential profit: $3.45
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $2.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20.61
Potential profit: $20.6
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.21
Potential profit: $20.21
User PnL: -$1.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on July 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.91
Potential profit: $18.91
User PnL: -$4.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on July 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.32
Potential profit: $18.32
User PnL: -$4.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.82
Potential profit: $17.82
User PnL: -$1.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.38
Potential profit: $17.38
User PnL: -$2.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 69°F or below on July 12?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $16.88
Potential profit: $16.87
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 28°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.85
Potential profit: $16.85
User PnL: -$2.19

Yes position

England to score first vs. Norway?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.69
Potential profit: $16.69
User PnL: -$5.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.11
Potential profit: $16.11
User PnL: -$1.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $0.54
Potential payout: $15.2
Potential profit: $14.66
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.03
Potential profit: $15.03
User PnL: -$5.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.74
Potential profit: $14.74
User PnL: -$2.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 12?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $14.6
Potential profit: $14.59
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.43
Potential profit: $14.43
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 41%
Current value: $5.9
Potential payout: $14.39
Potential profit: $8.49
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: $1.87

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.53

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C or higher on July 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.03

Yes position

Norway to score first vs. England?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.63

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.06

Yes position

Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Switzerland?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.92

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on July 12?