Polymarket Trader

qsparry

0x7e08527bc7be977ce4d06583602a5cec40cfd210

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $109.16
Realized PnL: $2.49K
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the Republican Party hold between 225 and 229 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $56.58
Potential payout: $58
Potential profit: $1.42
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.9%
Current value: $52.58
Potential payout: $56
Potential profit: $3.42
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$1.46

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

XRP Up or Down on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $630

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $575

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $550

Royals position

Royals vs. White Sox

Ends Sep 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $509.22

Brewers position

Brewers vs. Reds

Ends Aug 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $469.92

Giants position

Nationals vs. Giants

Ends Aug 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $228.76

No position

Solana above $190 on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.1

No position

Starmer out by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.74

No position

Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.52

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $0.67

No position

Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

No position

Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $0.46

No position

Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.39

No position

Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

No position

Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 98.3%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Felix Protocol FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 98.1%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 98.1%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?

Ends Dec 19, 2026

Implied probability: 91.9%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.06

Up position

XRP Up or Down on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Up position

Solana Up or Down on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$195

Giants position

Giants vs. Pirates

Ends Aug 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$299.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Brewers vs. Reds

Brewers 56% 1,068 shares
Nationals vs. Giants

Giants 57% 532 shares
Giants vs. Pirates

Giants 56% 535 shares
Solana Up or Down on July 31?

Up 50% 390 shares
Ethereum Up or Down on July 12?

Down 50% 1,150 shares
XRP Up or Down on July 1?

Down 50% 1,260 shares
Solana above $190 on May 16?

No 85% 794 shares