Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.46K
- Potential profit
- $16.46K
- User PnL
- -$2.45K
Polymarket Trader
ItisHaruka
0x7e092833257a6da94947ebffe54bdea876ee7eba
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $402.02
- Realized PnL
- -$5.4K
- Win rate
- 45.5%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $402.02
- Potential payout
- $6.18K
- Potential profit
- $5.78K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$347.47
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.94K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.89K
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $600
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $442.63
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.56
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$191.8
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$290
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.38K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.62K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 11% 2,727.27 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 16% 1,920 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 26% 1,900 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 2.1% 23,645.7 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 25% 20 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 1.7% 18,271.55 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 1.8% 5,374.15 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 12% 3,457.69 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 13% 6,915.38 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 2.1% 42,360.65 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes 14.9% 16,464.94 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 27% 1,851.85 shares