anonymous58371

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.62
Potential payout: $113.53
Potential profit: $112.91
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$69.77

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on June 17?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $113.05
Potential profit: $112.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$72.45

No position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $79.57
Potential payout: $112.87
Potential profit: $33.3
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $2.82

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $80.7
Potential payout: $112.87
Potential profit: $32.17
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $3.95

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $81.46
Potential payout: $112.36
Potential profit: $30.9
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: -$0.56

No position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $100.4
Potential payout: $112.17
Potential profit: $11.78
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $16.27

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $84.41
Potential payout: $111.8
Potential profit: $27.39
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$3.91

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $75.43
Potential payout: $111.75
Potential profit: $36.32
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: -$8.7

No position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $80.44
Potential payout: $111.73
Potential profit: $31.28
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: -$4.74

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $88.82
Potential payout: $111.72
Potential profit: $22.9
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $2.59

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $89.93
Potential payout: $111.71
Potential profit: $21.78
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $0.56

No position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $94.32
Potential payout: $111.62
Potential profit: $17.3
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $3.91

No position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $84.77
Potential payout: $111.54
Potential profit: $26.77
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$6.69

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $70.82
Potential payout: $111.53
Potential profit: $40.71
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$8.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $84.13
Potential payout: $111.43
Potential profit: $27.3
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$8.36

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $85.8
Potential payout: $111.43
Potential profit: $25.63
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: -$6.69

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $94.13
Potential payout: $111.4
Potential profit: $17.27
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $2.67

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $87.97
Potential payout: $111.36
Potential profit: $23.39
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$5.57

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $95.19
Potential payout: $111.33
Potential profit: $16.14
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $7.91

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $82.93
Potential payout: $111.32
Potential profit: $28.39
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $3.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $94.01
Potential payout: $111.26
Potential profit: $17.25
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.56

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $80.66
Potential payout: $111.26
Potential profit: $30.6
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: -$13.91

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $101.25
Potential payout: $111.26
Potential profit: $10.01
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $6.68

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $95.11
Potential payout: $111.24
Potential profit: $16.13
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $13.09

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.83

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 12?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $34.97

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.95

No position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.85

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 82%
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $34.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.74

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.54

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on June 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.34

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.93

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.88

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.76

No position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.44

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.23

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on June 16?