Polymarket Trader

JVW

0x7e0e81d6533ff05aab4c18c7dae7b42cb0787fbb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $645.97
Realized PnL: -$274.76
Win rate: 30%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$100

No position

Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $472.97
Potential payout: $587.54
Potential profit: $114.57
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $422.97

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $454.55
Potential profit: $454.55
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $288.11
Potential profit: $288.11
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $234.53
Potential profit: $234.53
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $93.18
Potential payout: $93.18
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $73.18

Yes position

Bill Ackman tweets another manifesto by November 30?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $79.81
Potential payout: $79.81
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $59.81

Yes position

Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.68
Potential profit: $55.68
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.89

Yes position

Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.31

Texas position

Will Trump do better in Ohio or Texas?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.79

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $33.33

Yes position

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.51

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

No Cut October

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.45

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end October 23-26?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.89

Yes position

Kamala wins 275-263 - Sunbelt Sweep

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will 538 call 49 states correctly?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will MrBeast's animal charity video get less than 15 million views on day 1?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will EA say "Mobile" during earnings call?

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25

No position

Will Trump visit Israel by October 15?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$46.79

Yes position

Will Trump win 1 swing state?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$75

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$160

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B?

No 8.5% 587.54 shares
Bill Ackman tweets another manifesto by November 30?

Yes 25.1% 79.81 shares
GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31?

Yes 8% 1,250 shares
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?

Yes 16% 333.33 shares
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Yes 94.8% 10.55 shares
Will MrBeast's animal charity video get less than 15 million views on day 1?

Yes 0.9% 1,730.95 shares
Will EA say "Mobile" during earnings call?

Yes 14.3% 139.65 shares
No Cut October

Yes 2.8% 179.9 shares
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?

Yes 1.9% 1,292.75 shares
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?

Yes 2.3% 1,710.65 shares
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by October 31?

Yes 1.4% 885.73 shares
Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?

Yes 8.5% 234.53 shares