Polymarket Trader

0x7E241D797EfC632C0d8175a9414d2751cF8cA77E-1774247761803

0x7e241d797efc632c0d8175a9414d2751cf8ca77e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $384.82
Realized PnL: $460.16
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $75
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $125
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$17

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $115.26
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $4.74
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $7.42

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$55

Yes position

Will Discord’s market cap be between $15B and $20B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2.4

No position

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $63.2
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $16.8
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $0.8

Morocco position

Spread: France (-1.5)

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$46.2

Argentina position

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$33.6

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $7.16
Potential payout: $68.21
Potential profit: $61.04
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$19.44

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $34.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $15.26
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: -$3.26

Yes position

Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$13.5

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 59.6%
Current value: $23.85
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $16.15
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$0.05

Over position

Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 54.1%
Current value: $21.65
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $18.35
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $36.6
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $3.4
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $3.4

Yes position

Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$8.7

Under position

United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$12.9

Colombia position

Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$12.2

Under position

Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$10.2

Spain position

Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 73.6%
Current value: $7.36
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $2.64
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.5

Yes position

Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59

Under position

France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47

Under position

Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.09

Yes position

Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.17

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.23

Belgium position

United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.19

Under position

Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.4

Argentina position

Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14

No position

Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.6

Over position

Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.8

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.4

France position

France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11

No position

Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.8

No position

Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Over position

Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.2

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5

England position

Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

No position

Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2

Norway position

Spread: Brazil (-1.5)

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Yes 59.8% 20 shares
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5

Over 54.3% 20 shares
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5

Over 54.3% 20 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Yes 59.8% 20 shares
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Spain 73.8% 10 shares
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

France 78% 30 shares
Spread: France (-1.5)

Morocco 66% 50 shares
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5

Under 53% 100 shares
Spread: France (-1.5)

Morocco 66% 20 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Yes 62% 30 shares
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

France 78% 20 shares
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Argentina 86% 90 shares